2024 Election Ratings

---

Presidential Election

In the race for President of the United States, our model has 312 electoral votes leaning towards Donald Trump, and 226 electoral votes leaning towards Kamala Harris.

Our statistical model projects the current popular vote outcome:

Donald Trump (R): 48.9%

Kamala Harris (D): 49.4%

Updated November 3, 2024

Senate Election

In the race for control of the United States Senate, we currently have Republicans as the favorite to take control of the majority, with 52 seats in their favor. 

Democrats currently have 46 seats leaning in their favor, with an additional two Democrat-caucusing Independents: King (Maine) and Sanders (Vermont).

Updated November 3, 2024