2024 Election Ratings

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Presidential Election

In the race for President of the United States, our model has 235 electoral votes leaning towards Donald Trump, and 241 electoral votes leaning towards Kamala Harris. The remaining 62 electoral votes are tossups.

Our statistical model projects the current popular vote outcome:

Donald Trump (R): 46.3%

Kamala Harris (D): 48.2%

Updated September 3, 2024

Senate Election

In the race for control of the United States Senate, we currently have Republicans as the favorite to take control of the majority, with 51 seats in their favor. 

Democrats currently have 46 seats leaning in their favor, with an additional two Democrat-caucusing Independents: King (Maine) and Sanders (Vermont).

Ohio remains the sole tossup seat.

Updated September 3, 2024